Economics New Zealand

Every year we get Treasury's economic and fiscal updates - the latest, the Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update or PREFU on Wednesda...

We don't have an adequate grasp on the real-time state of the economy. We need much more close-to-real-time data. That's it. The r...

There will be lots of economic policy lessons from covid-19. One of them, I hope, will be about the coordination of fiscal and monetary poli...

The Productivity Commission 's been working on 'Technological change and the future of work'. Last month it came out with the se...

The Budget came and went while I was overseas, and I've been catching up with the news and the coverage. It's not surprising that ...

There's been something quite odd happening for quite a while. Employers are saying they are having a lot of difficulty finding staff, as...

There's an ongoing barney on social and mainstream media about what the latest poor numbers for business confidence might or might not m...

As any number of recent headlines will tell you, there's a bunfight going on about a slump in business confidence and a rise in unemploy...

Yesterday's labour force data for the March quarter came out much as expected: forecasters had been expecting a 0.6% increase in employm...

Graeme Wheeler, the Reserve Bank governor, and the Reserve Bank more generally, have been copping quite a bit of criticism. Shamubeel Eaqu...

The Reserve Bank has been taking some stick recently about not getting inflation up to 2% - you have your choice of posts on Michael Reddell...

..and what I mean is, I'm going to show you a series of graphs, but I'm going to take my time baring all. Here's the first bit...

Exchange rate forecasting, as we all know, is usually a decidedly iffy proposition: the authors of this new Discussion Paper from the Reser...

Last week the Reserve Bank came out with the latest of its Analytical Notes - a series I highly recommend. They're pitched at the intel...

Last week the Reserve Bank published the latest in its Analytical Note series, 'The Reserve Bank’s method of estimating “potential outpu...

Here's a brilliant graph, from the Calculated Risk blog , an excellent site run by Bill McBride which mainly covers US macroeconomic dev...